The best the Alawites can now look forward to is that coastal enclave, protected by Russian patrons. The Christians and Druze will likely have to flee to Lebanon, if they can. Even if the latter groups are not committing atrocities against Sunni rebels (and I’ve seen no indication they are), the Sunnis will be killing them for their longtime support of the Asads and on the general principles of asserting Sunni Muslim supremacy, as Sunnis are killing Christians in Egypt and Libya. I think that there will be an even greater degree of violence in Syria because of the civil war.

Incidentally, whenever anybody learns of Muslims killing religious minority groups such as Copts in Egypt, I think that the word that ought to spring to mind is”lynching.” Just as more-or-less random lynchings (and other violence against blacks) in the Jim Crow Era were aimed at keeping them down, so are the periodic acts of violence against minorities in Muslim countries. It’s violence aimed at keeping the Dhimmis in their place and suitably terrified of their masters.