Comments on: IDF preparedness

By: Ed Hausman

Ed Hausman — Tue, 17 Jul 2007 04:32:41 +0000

If Syria wants Lebanon back, the last thing they want is Israel going in. Or for sure, Israel attacking them.

Remember, the one significant IAF success in Lebanon II was in immediately taking out Hizballah’s long range missiles. Do that to Syria, and the rest of the war will be a mopping up operation, with Syria losing practically all its conventional military forces. Dictatorships cannot afford to lose their military forces.

If Fatah does decide this is the big one and joins the attack, they will end up like Jordan in 1967, thrown out. Actually, I would like to see that, literally: non-citizen Arabs thrown out of Judea and Samaria.

By: Lady-Light

Lady-Light — Tue, 17 Jul 2007 03:59:54 +0000

Yes, you stated the most important point at the end of your post: Israel is very reluctant to ‘carpet bomb’ an area where there might be civilians; this is what contributed greatly to the large number of IDF soldiers who fell in Jenin: they went in on foot, from house to house in order to minimize civilian casualties. Instead (in my humble, unmilitarily-educated opinion) they should have treated the residents of Jenin as harboring and thus supporting terrorists, issued a warning to evacuate within 48 hours, and then proceeded to demolish the area. One solid, serious retaliation like that would go a long way to thwart future terror attacks on Israeli civilians.
And the irony of this, is that Operation Defensive Shield was branded a “massacre” committed by Israel!
Therefore, I so hope you are correct in your assessment of Israel’s strategies in the coming war. We can’t afford another Jenin, nor a Lebanon.

By: chsw

chsw — Mon, 16 Jul 2007 20:37:12 +0000

I am of the opposite opinion from Eric J. about the coming Israeli-Arab war. I think that the coming war will be far-ranging and involve missile exchanges of Israel versus Syria, Iran, Hamas and Hezballah. Fatah doesn’t have many missiles, but look for them to get in on some backstabbing action against Israel. In fact, I would never be surprised if other countries also joined the next war against Israel.

chsw

By: Eric J

Eric J — Mon, 16 Jul 2007 16:40:16 +0000

I’m beginning to think that this summer’s war is going to be a purely Lebanese affair – that the Opthamologist’s primary concern is the Hariri investigation, and Iran and Syria have decided to apply pressure on Lebanon and keep the leash on Hezbolah as far as rocket attacks on Israel go.

If they can keep Israel out of Lebanon, they’ve got a much better chance of taking over. The propaganda value of an actual Israeli invasion vs. a threatened one is probably pretty negligible. So keep the IDF on high alert, but don’t give them a reason to cross the border. (Meanwhile collapse the Lebanese govt. and rig the elections in favor of Hezbollah. I’m afraid that Lebanese Christians will probably play the role of Useful Idiots in this scenario.)

Then wait for a year or two. Let the Americans withdraw from Iraq, and give Iran an open corridor to Syria. Then Hezbollah can be armed with missiles that can hit Tel Aviv and perhaps an unmarked cargo container or two containing you-know-what.

At that point all the Mullahs have to do is decide whether Ahmedinjihad has been a good enough boy to be named as Caliph.