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05/12/2009

An agenda for J-Street

Filed under: Israel, Israel Derangement Syndrome — Tags: , — Soccerdad @ 12:00 pm

Short New York Times editorial: When PM Netanyahu visits with President Obama, Netanyahu ought to listen to his superior and faithfully do all that the President, in his infinite wisdom, asks him to do.

The NYT has a perfectly obnoxious editorial An agenda for Mr. Netanyahu.

If there is going to be a serious peace effort with Palestinians, Israel must work toward a two-state solution, Mr. Biden said. It must freeze further settlement construction in the West Bank and dismantle roadblocks between Palestinian cities and towns not needed for security. Israel must also grant Palestinians more responsibility for security to the extent that they combat extremists and dampen incitement against Israel, he added.

This should not come as news to Mr. Netanyahu. Mr. Obama and his aides have been telegraphing their intentions for weeks. But the Israeli leader’s responses have been unconvincing and insufficient. Growing tensions were obvious when his White House meeting slid later into May — after Mr. Obama hosted Arab leaders.

I would argue (and have argued) that Netanyahu did more in his first term to create a Palestinian state than any Palestinian (or Arab) leader ever did. I would also argue that the New York Times by underplaying or ignoring Arafat’s duplicity and the insincerity of Mahmoud Abbas had done more than its share of undermining peace in the Middle East.

Was the delay in the meeting due to tension, or because Netanyahu wanted the time to prepare an appropriate presentation for the President. Obviously the Prime Minister and President are not entirely on the same page. It is Netanyahu’s job to convince the President of the reasonableness of his position.

(And even if Netanyahu were to do everything the editors of the Times claim is necessary, what makes them so certain it would lead to peace or a Palestinian state?. Here’s “moderate” Palestinian “negotiator” Saeb Erakat:

“Let me recount two historical events, even if I am revealing a secret. On July 23, 2000, at his meeting with President Arafat in Camp David, President Clinton said: ‘You will be the first president of a Palestinian state, within the 1967 borders – give or take, considering the land swap – and East Jerusalem will be the capital of the Palestinian state, but we want you, as a religious man, to acknowledge that the Temple of Solomon is located underneath the Haram Al-Sharif.’

“Yasser Arafat said to Clinton defiantly: ‘I will not be a traitor. Someone will come to liberate it after 10, 50, or 100 years. Jerusalem will be nothing but the capital of the Palestinian state, and there is nothing underneath or above the Haram Al-Sharif except for Allah.’ That is why Yasser Arafat was besieged, and that is why he was killed unjustly.

“In November 2008… Let me finish… [Israeli prime minister Ehud] Olmert, who talked today about his proposal to Abu Mazen, offered the 1967 borders, but said: ‘We will take 6.5% of the West Bank, and give in return 5.8% from the 1948 lands, and the 0.7% will constitute the safe passage, and East Jerusalem will be the capital, but there is a problem with the Haram and with what they called the Holy Basin.’ Abu Mazen too answered with defiance, saying: ‘I am not in a marketplace or a bazaar. I came to demarcate the borders of Palestine – the June 4, 1967 borders – without detracting a single inch, and without detracting a single stone from Jerusalem, or from the holy Christian and Muslim places.’ This is why the Palestinian negotiators did not sign…”

This is form a month ago. Does this sound like someone who believes in a two state solution or even compromise?)

I’d add that even this rather obnoxious article in the Washington Post makes an important point:

After the signing of the 1993 Oslo peace accords and throughout the 1990s, the West Bank and Gaza combined grew at a healthy 6 percent annually, according to the World Bank. That stopped with the second intifada, which proved disastrous economically. According to the World Bank, Palestinian gross domestic product in both areas peaked in 1999 and has fallen by about 30 percent since then. Current per capita income is about $4,000 a year.

So yes, under Binyamin Netanyahu the Palestinian economy grew. The growth stopped when Yasser Arafat decided to launch a terror war against Israel in September 2000. The Times need not lecture Netanyahu on making the lives of the Palestinians more comfortable.

The editors of the Times continue:

In his video speech to the same activist group, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, Mr. Netanyahu said he wants peace with the Palestinians. He even committed to negotiations “without any delay and without any preconditions.” But it rings hollow. He has resisted — and his foreign minister and unity government partner, Avigdor Lieberman, has openly derided — the two-state solution that is the only sensible basis for a lasting settlement that could anchor a regional peace. On Monday, the 15-member United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted a statement endorsing the two-state solution.

Lieberman, in fact, has advocated a two state solution. And Netanyahu isn’t going to agree to a Palestinian state if it presents a threat to Israel. That’s hardly unreasonable.

Other differences also threaten next week’s meeting. One is the president’s decision to reach out to Iran, which has made Israel uneasy. Mr. Netanyahu — perhaps trying to ensure talks with the Palestinians never get anywhere — hinted that he might condition peace efforts on Mr. Obama’s success in ending Tehran’s nuclear program.

Actually the threat from Iran is more significant. I don’t think that Netanyahu is specifically conditioning peace efforts on progress against Iran’s nuclear program, but certainly it’s a priority to him. Iran doesn’t just threaten Israel, though, it threatens to project its power throughout the Middle East. If it acquires nuclear weapons, it will have one more threat to help them spread power. So any actions Israel takes ought not to strengthen Iran’s allies – Hezbollah and Hezbollah. In fact in the name of peace, Israel withdrew from southern Lebanon and Gaza, strengthening Iran’s allies and thus Iran too. So any concessions Israel makes need to be weighed against the risks they carry by strengthening Israel’s enemies generally and Iran specifically.

Stopping Iran’s nuclear program is crucial. Mr. Obama’s approach — a serious diplomatic overture followed by tougher sanctions if talks fail — is risky but worth it. Yes, the clock is ticking as Tehran’s capability improves. But Mr. Netanyahu should not artificially constrain Mr. Obama’s initiative. And Mr. Obama must discourage any move by Mr. Netanyahu to lead Israel, or push the United States, into unnecessary military action.

Nothing Netanyahu will say will “push” the United States into “unnecessary” military action. Of course the question here, is what the Times’s editors mean by “crucial.” If they mean “preferable,” well then any military action would be “unnecessary.” If, however, they mean “essential” then military action may indeed be necessary regardless of what Netanyahu says, unless they have some other plan for disarming a nuclear Iran. What do the editors suggest? Sprinkling pixie dust?

It cannot be either-or. We have seen how former President George W. Bush’s delay in engaging seriously on Israeli-Palestinian peace efforts sabotaged United States interests in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq and Iran by giving Al Qaeda and other extremists a rallying point for anti-Americanism. There are huge obstacles to peacemaking, including the rivalry between the ruling Fatah and militant Hamas Palestinian factions. Fortunately, there is also a new, potentially useful dynamic: Arab states like Saudi Arabia and Egypt are as worried about Iran as Israel is. That is a shared concern that should be exploited to bind these old adversaries in common cause — to advance Israeli-Palestinian peace and to restrain Iran.

I’d argue that President Clinton’s focus on Middle East peacemaking to the exclusion of the threat of Al Qaeda is what really damaged American security. And did President Clinton’s deep involvement in the peace process bring peace any closer?

Of course the Times’s approach makes sense if you give credence to the view of Arabists that the central conflict in the Middle East is the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. There’s no evidence to suggest that’s true. And the main obstacle to peace making is the refusal of even “moderate” Fatah to unambiguously accept Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish State. And while there may be some good accomplished by exploiting the Arab fear of Iran, it should be done in a way that weakens Israel.

Finally we have:

As new leaders of two deeply entwined countries, President Obama and Mr. Netanyahu have an interest in getting their relationship off to a good start. Mr. Netanyahu, a smooth talker, will have to do better than vague promises, however. Just think what might happen if he declared an end to settlement construction and an early return to substantive final status negotiations.

Mr. Obama could then challenge Arab leaders who supported a 2002 peace initiative to respond, perhaps by initiating openly acknowledged diplomatic contacts and trade ties with Israel. Pessimism is the norm in the Middle East, but those kinds of moves could be game-changers.

Actually it should be up to the Arabs to initiate contacts with Israel ahead of any diplomatic process. That would show that their “peace initiative” might actually be sincere instead of an ultimatum camouflaged by vague promises of moderation.

In short the Times asks Binyamin Netanyahu to adhere to the agenda of J-Street – presumably also the agenda of President Obama. But Netanyahu’s responsibility is not to satisfy the whims of the United States but to protect his country and its interests as much as possible. The arrogance of the Times is astounding.

Crossposted on Soccer Dad.

05/03/2009

AIPAC dismissals and fallout

Filed under: Israel, Israel Derangement Syndrome — Tags: , , — Soccerdad @ 1:00 pm

Meryl and Daled Amos have provided synopses of the AIPAC case. I’d just add that I understand why AIPAC dismissed Steve Rosen and Kenneth Weissman. Part of the bullying that the government engaged in was to threaten the organization with prosecution if they did not do so.

Jennifer Rubin Daniel Halper (thanks Meryl) takes Matthew Yglesias to task.

The two lobbyists did not break the law and it has been widely speculated that “the whole point of the exercise was obviously an attempt on the part of some people in the FBI to embarrass the pro-Israel lobby.” Simply because they worked for AIPAC, an organization that Yglesias does not like, they deserved a government-administered black eye?

It’s one thing to attack one’s political foe on merit. It’s quite another to relish an injustice. The day has come: a lefty blogger sides with a J. Edgar Hoover-like move by the FBI. One can only speculate that his reasons are as ignoble as the FBI’s.

And the Wall Street Journal summarizes:

But Washington is not a normal world, and this prosecution needs to be understood in the context in the aftermath of the Iraq invasion and the swirl of conspiracy theories about “neocon” and Jewish influence over U.S. policy. In this bizarro reading of events, President Bush, Dick Cheney, Don Rumsfeld, and Condoleezza Rice chose to invade Iraq due to the influence of Jewish officials such as Paul Wolfowitz, Doug Feith, Scooter Libby and Richard Perle. One sign of those times: In the immediate aftermath of Mr. Franklin’s arrest, CBS’s Lesley Stahl asked whether “Israel [used] the analyst to try to influence U.S. policy on the war in Iraq?” In other words, the Aipac case resembled a political hit more than a legitimate “espionage” case.

The Journal continues:

The same goes for the recent fallout involving Ms. Harman. Late last month, Congressional Quarterly reported that Ms. Harman and a person described as a “suspected Israeli agent” had been wiretapped by the government sometime before the 2006 election in which she allegedly agreed to intervene with the Bush Administration on behalf of Messrs. Weissman and Rosen.

In exchange, the unnamed “agent” is said to have promised Ms. Harman lobbying help in her effort to chair the Intelligence Committee, where she was then the ranking minority member, if Democrats won Congress. The Democrats did win the House, but Speaker Nancy Pelosi passed over Ms. Harman in favor of Texan Sylvestre Reyes.

At this point, things get murkier. Who did the wiretapping? CQ reported that it was the National Security Agency. But Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair denies this, and other news stories claim the wiretap was placed by the FBI. When did the wiretap take place? Different accounts put the date at either 2005 or 2006, a material point since in 2005 it was hardly clear the Democrats would take the House. Who was the “suspected Israeli agent”? Ms. Harman has said she doesn’t even remember the conversation, but she is certain that anyone she would have discussed the case with would have been “an American citizen.”

(If anyone doubts the Journal’s contention that the point of the prosecution was to undermine the legitimacy of those who are pro-Israel, consider that anti-Israel activists refer to Rep. Harman as an “Israeli mole.” I also question why no one in the Bush administration pulled the plug on the prosecution.)

A commentator noted that there was only one clear violation of the law in the Harman case, was the disclosure of the results of a wiretap. Who’s the commentator? Steve Rosen who how writes the Obama Mideast Monitor for the Middle East Forum.

Crossposted on Soccer Dad.

04/26/2009

3 arrested in Lebanon for spying for Israel

Filed under: Iran, Israel — Tags: , — Soccerdad @ 7:04 am

The New York Times reports that Lebanese authorities have arrested three men for spying for Israel.

The arrests on Saturday were based on information from Adeeb al-Alam, a retired Lebanese general who was arrested this month and charged with spying for Israel for over at least a decade. Mr. Alam traveled regularly to Europe to meet with Israeli officials, and at their behest he set up a business that brought women to Lebanon to work as maids to help disguise his activities, Lebanese security officials said.

Over the past year, according to the article, Lebanon has arrested 9 people for spying for Israel.

In many cases, Hezbollah has discovered and captured spying suspects before handing them to the authorities in Lebanon. Hezbollah, a Shiite militant group, whose political wing has strong representation in the Parliament and cabinet, is the most powerful military force in Lebanon, and it is also widely thought to have the best intelligence network.

This year, Hezbollah captured Marwan Faqih, a businessman in Nabatiye who is believed to have sold dozens of cars to Hezbollah officials with tracking and listening devices inside them, on behalf of Israeli intelligence. Mr. Faqih was handed over to the authorities in Lebanon and charged with collaborating with Israel.

Clearly there’s been some sort of shadow war going on in Lebanon. And while it may be comforting to Lebanon (and its Syrian and Iranian overlords) to attribute these killings to Israel, I’m not convinced that Israel has had anything to with them. Maybe I’m naive, but I’m not convinced that Israel killed Imad Mughniyeh in Damascus either.

Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, has said repeatedly that the group would retaliate against Israel for the 2008 killing of Imad Mugniyah, a top Hezbollah military commander.

In other words, arresting people who were inconvenient to Hezbollah for some other reason would be a good way of showing that Hezbollah is doing something and not impotent in that case.

I also think that the arrests are a sign of nervousness about Iran’s nuclear program, as Iran has made a number of arrests and an execution for espionage recently. And as Iran’s proxy bordering Israel, I expect that the nervousness has spread to Hezbollah.

(I should emphasize, that my feeling that Lebanon’s espionage arrests are based on false accusations, is not based on any inside knowledge. I do know that Fatah and Hamas have used the charge of “collaboration with Israel” to rid themselves of people who were inconvenient. I suspect that Hezbollah and Iran work much the same way.)

Crossposted on Soccer Dad.

02/04/2009

Keep it simple Tom

Filed under: Israel — Tags: , — Soccerdad @ 10:00 am

In Don’t try this at home, Thomas Friedman unnecessarily complicates the Middle East. For one thing he makes a fundamental mistake.

In recent days, some have questioned whether Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was making a big mistake in appointing so many “special envoys,” such as George Mitchell, to handle key trouble spots, like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. I think they are right to question Mrs. Clinton about this plethora of envoys. But I don’t think the problem is that she has too many; it’s that she doesn’t have enough.

While I don’t think that Oslo was a good deal, people – even experts like Friedman – forget that it was first negotiated in secret. The United States was not involved at all until the end of the process. Similarly too, the United States only got involved with the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty at the end, after both countries had done preliminary negotiations without outside interference. There’s no reason now to assume that American involvement is essential. It probably hinders the likelihood that any sort of agreement will be reached.

The idea that American involvement hinders peacemaking may seem paradoxical, but it isn’t. By declaring its interest in a peace treaty and getting involved the United States shows the Palestinians how highly it values peace. It also freezes diplomatic thinking into believing that the only choices are the ones available. The Palestinians know that they can then raise the cost of peace for Israel by making more demands. We saw this throughout the 90’s where American desire for a settlement meant that it ignored Arafat’s constant violations of Oslo because it valued a treaty more than actual peace. Arafat was deemed essential to making peace, so his violations were overlooked as understandable responses to Israeli failures rather than deeming him an obstacle to peace and looking for a new interlocutor.

Where to begin? Palestinians are now divided between the West Bank and Gaza, with a secular Palestinian Authority based in Ramallah in the West Bank and a fundamentalist Hamas government based in Gaza. But Hamas is further divided between a military and political wing, and the political wing is further divided between a Gaza-based leadership and a Damascus-based leadership, with the latter taking orders from both Syria and Iran.

There is, of course, no real division between the political and terrorist wings of Hamas. It’s a convenient fiction created by those who pretend that there’s a chance of Hamas moderating its positions.

Best I can tell, the Palestinians from Gaza are simultaneously negotiating a cease-fire with Israel in Cairo, pursuing war-crimes charges against Israel in Europe, digging new tunnels in the Sinai to smuggle more rockets into Gaza to hit Tel Aviv and trying to raise money for reconstruction from Iran. Meanwhile, the West Bank Palestinian leaders are busy publicly collecting food and blankets to help all those Palestinian civilians brutalized by the Israeli incursion into Gaza, while privately demanding to know from senior Israeli officials why they wimped out and didn’t wipe Hamas in Gaza off the face of earth — casualties be damned.

“Brutalized by the Israel incursion?” How about “brutalized by being used as human shields by Hamas?” Still what’s difficult to understand. Fatah wants more power.

Israel, meanwhile, has a government in which the prime minister, foreign minister and defense minister each has a different peace plan, war strategy and cease-fire conditions for Gaza, and the foreign minister and defense minster are running against each other in Israel’s election on Tuesday. Speaking of that election, a whole new party, Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, which has been accused of having “fascist,” viciously anti-Arab leanings, appears headed to make the biggest gains and possibly become the kingmaker of Israel’s next government. The other day, the Labor Party leader, Ehud Barak, was quoted in the newspaper Haaretz as criticizing Lieberman as a lamb in hawk’s clothing, asking: “When has he ever shot anyone?”

So after Friedman tells us that there’s really a cuddly part of Hamas, he takes a cheap shot at Avigdor Lieberman and suggests that it will be Israeli extremism that will prevent a deal.

How did this conflict get so fragmented? For starters, it’s gone on way too long. The West Bank is so chopped up and divided now by roads, checkpoints and fences to separate Israel’s crazy settlements from Palestinian villages that a Palestinian could fly from Jerusalem to Paris quicker than he or she could drive from Jenin, here in the northern West Bank, to Hebron in the south.

Oh please. It’s gone on so long because the fundamental requirement for peace has been lacking. Palestinian nationalism is based on the destruction of Israel. It is something that even Fatah has never officially renounced. As mentioned above, no outrage was serious enough to disqualify Arafat once he was named a “peacemaker.” Given that the Palestinians want a state in Gaza and Judea and Samaria, it’s hard to be sympathetic to complaints that non-contiguity will be a problem. Israeli communities don’t prevent a future Palestinian state from having connecting routes, but continued Israeli growth in Judea and Sarmaria and resultant loss of territory is a reasonable cost for failing to act in good faith for fifteen years.

Friedman simply refuses to acknowledge that the assumptions he clings to, against all evidence, are wrong. The fundamental obstacle to peace in the Middle East is the Arab and Palestinian refusal to accept Israel. All else is obfuscation.

Crossposted on Soccer Dad.

07/30/2008

Gas money

Filed under: Life — Tags: — Meryl Yourish @ 11:02 pm

Well, that’s depressing.

I used a single credit card to pay for all my gas expenses from June 30 to July 28. The total, counting tolls: $376.64.

06/21/2008

Times of London: Israel war games a dress rehearsal

Filed under: Iran, Israel — Tags: , , — Meryl Yourish @ 9:38 am

The Times of London found someone who is not proven liar Uzi Mahnaimi to get an Israeli official to say that Israel is going to attack Iran.

Israeli aircraft have conducted a long-range mission designed to prepare for a possible strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities and to send a message to the world that it is ready to take military action if diplomacy fails to halt Tehran’s atomic programme.

An Israeli political official familiar with the drill, held early this month, said that the Iranians should “read the writing on the wall . . . This was a dress rehearsal, and the Iranians should read the script before they continue with their programme for nuclear weapons. If diplomacy does not yield results, Israel will take military steps to halt Tehran’s production of bomb-grade uranium.”

Here’s my problem with the Times of London: I don’t trust their sources after their willingness to publish Mahnaimi’s outright lies over the years (including one that Israel was working on a “genetic bomb” that would only target Arabs, a scientific impossibility, and a lie that refuses to go away, thanks to the Times’ article).

So while I know the IAF conducted a practice run that included flying the distance needed to fly to Iran, and I know that the IAF is preparing for the possibility of bombing Iran’s known nuclear reactor sites (and quite probably the ones the public doesn’t know about, as the Mossad has long infiltrated Iran), I am taking the above story with a shaker of salt. I don’t care that it’s a new reporter. The Times has proven itself to be an unreliable source of Israel news.

On the other hand, the “leak” could be the Israeli way of warning Iran that there will be action taken. Sometimes officials are tasked with leaks that are meant for precisely the people who react to them.

And Iran has reacted.

Iran called Israel a “dangerous regime” on Saturday after a US paper reported that the Air Force (IAF) had carried out a large military exercise, apparently a rehearsal for a potential bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities.

Yeah, yeah, yeah. Because Israel isn’t anything at all like the country that funds and trains Hezbullah, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, the Mahdi Army, and terrorists all over the world. And yes, that would be Iran—the world’s most dangerous regime. Projection. It’s the Arab/Islamic way.

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