The Jewish Press has kindly translated for us an analysis of an Israeli demographic study. The results are not at all what the media and political narrative has been told to you. Arabs are not going to outnumber Jews in Israel. It’s the reverse, according to the study.
1. Arabs across the Middle East and especially in Judea and Samaria are experiencing a collapse of their birthrate, from an average of 8 children per mother down to fewer than 3. The reasons are the rise in education and in income, and urbanization (smaller apartments, fewer children). 2. The most significant finding in the data are settler related births. Unlike Arab and even Haredi birth levels—which are going down, too, settler birth levels are not dropping off, but, instead, rising. In 1997, Arab births in Judea and Samaria were at 4.76 children per mother compared to the settler’s 4.69. But by 2011 that number changed significantly, with 5.07 births per Jewish settler mother versus only 3.06 per Arab mother. The difference between the two became even larger in 2012. Within pre-1967 Israel, Jewish birth-rates are currently around 3 children per mother, but the fashionable thing is increasingly to have 4 children per family.
2. The most significant finding in the data are settler related births. Unlike Arab and even Haredi birth levels—which are going down, too, settler birth levels are not dropping off, but, instead, rising.
In 1997, Arab births in Judea and Samaria were at 4.76 children per mother compared to the settler’s 4.69. But by 2011 that number changed significantly, with 5.07 births per Jewish settler mother versus only 3.06 per Arab mother. The difference between the two became even larger in 2012.
Within pre-1967 Israel, Jewish birth-rates are currently around 3 children per mother, but the fashionable thing is increasingly to have 4 children per family.
Altogether, out of 8.15 million residents in all of Israel, 6 million are Jews, 6.5 if you count family members who are not themselves Jewish. According to Bechor, at the current birth rate of 1 million every 7 years, Israel will hit 2 digits in 15 years, with the vast majority being Jewish.
The other thing to remember is that when the anti-Israel forces insist that Arabs are going to outnumber Jews in Israel, they count Gaza–which is no longer in any way administered by Israel–and the West Bank. The fact of the matter is that even if Gaza and the West Bank do become the state of Palestine, there will still be more Jews in Israel and Palestine than there will be Arabs–and according to this demographic study, it will stay that way. Unless, of course, the world’s Palestinian diaspora decides to go home to the West Bank and Gaza. Somehow, I don’t see that happening, judging by the current levels of oppression and corruption.
So the next time you read something by the Obama administration and its media sycophants insisting that if Israel doesn’t make peace with the Palestinians NOWNOWNOWNOW there will be a demographic bomb that will exploded in a few years, just remember: They’re full of it. Not gonna happen.
Just another lie about Israel.
The Palestinian diaspora may not have a choice about returning to Gaza and the West Bank. Lebanon will certainly will expel all the Pals once they have somewhere to go and some other Arab countries will probably do the same.
A huge influx of uneducated and unskilled people will surely do wonders for their society but the international community and peace process junkies never want to discuss “the day after”. We’re just suposed to believe it’ll be “sunshine lollipops and rainbows”