http://www.Realclearpolitics.com is also quite good, a conservative site that presents the data fully and clearly. Very little wishful thinking on either site. (So that won’t please some people!)

They are for Obama, but openly state that and predicted many of the primary results that others got wrong. They are also pretty open with their methodology.

1. You are either being disingenuous are simply don’t understand what the RCP average entails. It is made up of ALL polls averaged and weighted on a given date. Here is the chart for 2004 again.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html

Kindly show me where the blue (Kerry) line was ever higher than the red (Bush) one at ANY time from late August onwards.

2. The “Bradley Effect” concerns latent racism. Are you implying that that is a good thing?!

Robert

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_hth.html

You’ll see Kerry was up +2 at this point in the previous election. I took Statistics in school, and I can tell you a dozen different ways they can be manipulated. You can change poll results just by what time of day they’re taken. And with the MSM giving up any pretense of objectivity and being totally, unashamebly in the tank for Obama, what do they care anymore if polls are “accurate.”

Besides:

http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1575

Not to mention the fact that Bill Ayres is just entered the public lexicon… Remember how long it took for the Swift Boat Veterans to catch on, and how hard the MSM had to work to destroy them. They never gave up, even after the election. Heck, the Lefties still think we lost in Iraq, and Viet Nam wasn’t their fault!

Might want to google “Bradley Effect.”

Robert

and a look at obama’s advisors on the middleast make jimmy carter look good.

Gov’r Palin is the breath of fresh air

I’ll bet they won’t even notice that Obama didn’t know we fought World War II! (If we could have done something about the Holocaust, we would have?!?

Actually, we could have done something but didn’t. There are a number of reports about how the prisoners in Auschwitz prayed for the bombers to hit the railroads leading to the camp during the war and we did not. His “colud’ve, should’vew, would’ve” lines convinced me that he is a liar. He wouldn’t have done anything. All he is saying is that he wants us to have surrendered Iraq to the terrorists and pull out of the places we did go in by pretending to go to the places that we have not gone. I do not believe him.

That business about Kerry leading Bush in the 2004 polls is a wishful myth. It didn’t happen. From late August (2004) onwards Bush was in a clear lead. It narrowed somewhat at the end but not enough.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html