Yourish.com

Cutting straight to the point

And now to the next step in the PR attack

Posted on January 15th, 2008 at 3:30 pm by SnoopyTheGoon.

Filed under: AP Media Bias, Gaza

The ink on the first installment of the Gazan propaganda on the fuel shortages has not dried yet, and the ever servile AP with its tame photographers are ready with visual aids:
Gazan electricity by candlelight

The capture under this one:

Palestinians warm themselves around a fire during a power outage in Gaza City,Monday, Jan. 14, 2008. In early January Israel cut back on some of its fuel shipments to the volatile Gaza Strip in response to the daily barrages of homemade rockets fired by Palestinian militants in Gaza at Israeli border towns.(AP Photo/Hatem Moussa)

The next one goes for the jugular:

Gazan electricity by candlelight

And the capture:

Palestinian children use a candle for light during a power outage in Gaza City, Monday, Jan. 14, 2008. In early January Israel cut back on some of its fuel shipments to the volatile Gaza Strip in response to the daily barrages of homemade rockets fired by Palestinian militants in Gaza at Israeli border towns. (AP Photo/Hatem Moussa)

Doesn’t take a lot of imagination to guess what the next pictures will be:

  • Elderly Palestinian (woman?) frozen to death because of the Zionist power outage
  • Gazans of all ages and genders dying in droves in hospitals in the middle of surgery because of the Zioni…
  • Gazan males stuck frozen in impossible positions mid-prayer because of the Zion…
  • Fertilizer to be used in manufacturing explosives remains unprocessed because of the Zio…
  • Qassams to be launched remain unlaunched because of the Z…

Upon second thought - scratch the last two. Where there is a will…

No worries, folks - AP and Hatem Moussa are on the case!

Cross-posted on SimplyJews.

Peace processing mirage

Posted on January 15th, 2008 at 10:00 am by Soccerdad.

Filed under: Israel, Israeli Double Standard Time

Still Waiting to Seize the Moment - Editorial from the New York Times.

Despite longstanding pledges, the Israelis are refusing to stop expanding settlements while the Palestinians aren’t doing enough to halt violence against Israel.


A Middle East Commitment
- Editorial from the Washington Post

So far U.S. prodding has failed to induce Mr. Olmert and Mr. Abbas to take initial confidence-building steps they have repeatedly promised, such as the dismantlement of illegal Israeli outposts in the West Bank or a campaign to stop incitement against Israel by Palestinian media and schools.

It’s come to the point where this hackneyed boilerplate passes for analysis. The halting of terror was a premise of the whole peace process. There is no equivalence between terror that is encouraged and perpetrated by the PA and Israel building more homes for its citizens. The former violates every premise of peacemaking and yet it’s treated as a “confidence building measure.” On the latter, I’m reasonably certain that if Israel stopped building everywhere else but continued building in places like Gilo, Ramot and French Hill, that these august newspapers would still fault Israel.

Getting back to the NY Times:

For the first time, Mr. Bush did say that Israel must compensate Palestinians who left or were driven from their homes in what is now Israel. He also warned both sides that they are going to have to make difficult compromises on their borders.

Why is Israel responsible for Palestinians who left their homes? And why is there no mention of Jews who were driven from their homes? And as Amb. Dore Gold pointed out yesterday in a conference call of bloggers, Israeli territorial compromises are not just difficult but, based on past experience, dangerous too.

As bad as the NY Times editorial is, the Washington Post’s is worse.

In 2001 he disparaged and quickly abandoned President Bill Clinton’s personal attempt to broker a final peace settlement between Israelis and Palestinians during his final months in office. Seven years later, ending his first visit to Israel as president, Mr. Bush set a goal of finishing that peace treaty during his own final months; said he would personally involve himself in pressuring both sides; and, like Mr. Clinton before him, laid out his own parameters for a deal.The only significant difference between the two sets of presidential ideas was that Mr. Bush was unwilling, unlike Mr. Clinton, to discuss a solution for Jerusalem, where the largest concessions will have to come from Israel. Instead, he mainly sketched the painful sacrifices required from Palestinians, including the surrender of some West Bank territory and the payment of compensation rather than the “return” of Palestinians who fled Israel in 1948. Still, none of what the president said was novel. Mr. Bush’s statement merely confirmed that seven years of bloodshed, unilateral actions and diplomatic stasis, during which both Israelis and Palestinians sought to change the terms suggested by Mr. Clinton, have been a tragic waste of lives and time.

I won’t disagree that the past seven years there has been a tragic waste of lives, but it isn’t due to the president’s disengagement. It’s worth noting that the terror war waged against Israel that was going on when President Bush took office, occurred in the wake of the some of the most intensive diplomatic efforts ever undertaken in the Middle East. In fact it’s incredible that the editors don’t acknowledge that the the violence of seven years ago took place despite the Clinton parameters. This shows that the terror war was not a function of the lack of an agreement.

It’s also an amazingly ignorant argument given that during President Bush’s term in office Israel withdrew from Gaza. That led not to greater compromise and understanding but strengthened Hamas and put Israelis living in “non-occupied” Israel at risk from Qassam missiles. There hasn’t been “diplomatic stasis” over the past seven years, diplomatic progress has been made; it just has produced the exact opposite results that the Post’s editors assumed that it would.

In Here we Go Round the Mulberry Bush, Barry Rubin lays out a summary of the past seven years based on observation not wishful thinking.

In 2000, a seven-year-long peace process was due for completion. The Gaza Strip and much of the West Bank had been turned over to the Fatah-dominated Palestinian Authority (PA) led by Yasir Arafat. The PA had been given billions of dollars and military equipment, becoming a virtual client of the United States. Despite these efforts, there was anarchy in the PA-ruled territory, constant incitement to violence against Israel on the official news media, no psychological or ideological preparation of the Palestinians by their leadership for peace, and a massive wasting of funds.Later, some analysts would explain away the failure by saying it was a mistake to force Arafat to the negotiating table for a decision. At the time, though, all one heard was how Arafat needed progress or he would lose control of his people and that the window of opportunity was closing. The U.S., Israeli, and European governments also wanted diplomatic progress for interests of their own. The result was not only the Camp David summit but also, and in some ways even more important, the Clinton plan that followed. The Palestinian leadership rejected both and instead opted for war.

Bush’s new policy may be a big change for him but, after all, he is merely making the same analysis and offering the same terms as his predecessor. It was an understanding of what went wrong with Clinton’s thinking and his generous bid–in part taught them by Clinton itself–that explains the Bush administration’s lower level of effort for most of its time in office.

The problem then isn’t the lack of American involvement, but the lack of a Palestinian commitment or ability to make peace.

Even if there was a Palestinian leader able to transcend all those pressures he would still restrained by knowing that to make a deal might not only be personally fatal but–far more certain–would destroy his reputation and career. Nobody will act like Egyptian President Anwar Sadat in making peace with Israel because look what happened to him (reviled, boycotted by the Arab world, and assassinated).Nor do Palestinian leaders feel a need to run such risks. A far easier, successful policy is to take billions of Western aid dollars while doing nothing and blaming everything on Israeli intransigence and U.S. mistakes.

Calls for more American involvement in the peace process are based on a false belief that American pressure can help make peace. American involvement, instead, seems to have accomplished just the opposite. It has created an atmosphere that rewards (Palestinian) intransigence in the chimerical belief that enough foreign aid can somehow change deeply held beliefs.

Crossposted on Soccer Dad.

Shaky

Posted on January 15th, 2008 at 9:30 am by Soccerdad.

Filed under: Israel

Israeli PM Olmert’s coalition might look a lot less solid at the end of the day. OneJerusalem reports that the 11 seat Yisrael Beiteinu faction is likely to leave the government, leaving the Kadima led coalition with 67 seats.

The Jerusalem Post has more:

At the start of Monday’s Knesset plenum session, Israel Beiteinu showed its displeasure with the government by walking out on a no-confidence motion regarding Israel’s negotiations with the Palestinians on core issues.Sources close to Lieberman said the party head had received the impression that Olmert concluded that Labor and Israel Beiteinu could no longer exist in the same coalition and that he chose to keep Labor at Lieberman’s expense.

They cited Olmert’s statements to the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee Monday about the need to negotiate the core issues of the conflict and his statements Sunday to Kadima ministers about outposts remaining being a disgrace.

While One Jerusalem speculates that this would increase pressure on the religious Sephardi party, Shas, to leave and bring down the government, the Jerusalem Post looks at the effect Yisrael Beiteinu’s departure will have on Labor.

Olmert’s associates said he had not intended to push out Lieberman but privately they admitted that if Israel Beiteinu left, it would give the diplomatic process a boost and make it more likely that Defense Minister Ehud Barak would keep Labor in the coalition.Sources close to Barak said Israel Beiteinu’s departure would indeed increase pressure for Labor to stay, but that Lieberman would not impact Barak’s decision about whether to keep his promise to remove Labor from the coalition upon the Winograd Report’s publication on January 30.

Channel 1’s Ayala Hason reported Monday that if the Winograd report ended up being extremely critical of Olmert, Barak would give Kadima six weeks to elect a new leader. If Kadima would refuse, Barak would bring down the government and force an election.

Even if Shas stays, the result of the Winograd commission could leave Kadima severely weakened.

On his way out of Israel, President Bush urged Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas to stay in support of PM Olmert. This probably didn’t help as it cast those critical of PM Olmert and Kadima as being against peace.

Israelis aren’t against peace. But they aren’t in favor of dangerous - not just painful - concessions. They’ve seen an increase in terrorism and radicalism since the Oslo process began. Now they see a an unpopular Prime Minister trying to boost his own fortunes by adopting policies that appeal to the American president but not to his electorate. President Bush’s appeal to Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas was a slap in the face of the Israeli people.

Crossposted on Soccer Dad.

“Humanitarian aid” to the PA: Two tons of explosive material

Posted on January 15th, 2008 at 8:00 am by Meryl Yourish.

Filed under: Gaza, Terrorism

Once again, Israeli security forces found Palestinians attempting to smuggle material used to make explosives into the Gaza Strip. Two tons of it. That goes along with the six and a half tons of potassium nitrate in UN bags caught a few weeks ago.

Security workers employed by the Israel Airport Authority uncovered two tons of fertilizer used in the manufacturing of Qassam rockets on Monday afternoon, the substantial amount of explosive material was concealed in a truck allegedly transporting humanitarian aid into the Gaza Strip.

The security officials manning the Kerem Shalom border crossing discovered the smuggling attempt during a random inspection of vehicles carrying humanitarian equipment and goods.

This is the second such incident to occur this week.

Hands up, those of you who think this news will make the wire services. Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?

All nied up

Posted on January 15th, 2008 at 5:22 am by Soccerdad.

Filed under: Iran, Israel

via memeorandumfrom Bothersome Intel on Iran by Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

Israeli and other foreign officials asked Bush to explain the NIE, which concluded with “high confidence” that Iran halted what the document describes as its “nuclear weapons program.” The NIE arrived at this finding even though Tehran continues to operate uranium-enrichment centrifuges that many experts believe are intended to develop material for a bomb, and despite the CIA’s assertion that it had, for the first time, concrete evidence of such a weaponization program. Most confusing of all, the document seemed to directly contradict a 2005 NIE that concluded—also with “high confidence”—that Iran did have such a weapons program. Bush’s national-security adviser, Stephen Hadley, told reporters in Jerusalem that Bush had only said to Olmert privately what he’s already said publicly, which is that he believes Iran remains “a threat” no matter what the NIE says. But the president may be trying to tell his allies something more: that he thinks the document is a dead letter.

The final sentence is written in such a way as to indicate that President Bush has, for political reasons, ignored the professional analysis of his intelligence community. Of course the rest of the article, describing the Israeli displeasure with the conclusions of the NIE, suggest that Israel’s intelligence community came to different conclusions from the United States.

Connect the Dots points out that what President Bush is disavowing is not the NIE itself:

The NIE may be perfectly sound, but the declassified summary of it, produced at the last minute after the White House decided to release the document, is something else. By relegating to a footnote the fact that Iran has a continuing uranium-enrichment program, and by declaring flatly that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, without so much of an indication that a crucial aspect of that program — the development of fuel for a nuclear-bomb core — continues apace, the public — including America’s allies and adversaries — were baldly misled.

If Schoenfeld’s speculation is correct, then, the NIE represents less of a departure then the president’s critics, such as Hirsh portray it.

Israel Matzav looks at the implications for Israel.

There are two issues here and the only way Bush can quell that ‘rising chorus of voices’ is to resolve one of those issues and see to the resolution of the other issue. The issue Bush can resolve is the view here that the NIE shut the door on US action against Iran. Most people here believe that the NIE took the US military option against Iran off the table. If there still is a military option that the United States is prepared to use in the event that - as seems almost inevitable - sanctions will fail, that will go a long way towards quelling the ‘rising chorus of voices’ for unilateral Israeli action. A second - not nearly as satisfactory scenario - would be for Bush to make it clear that the US will support or at least not hinder Israeli military action against Iran if and when that becomes necessary.

From what I can gather, only the second option really remains. The summary of the NIE took the American option out of consideration.

Crossposted on Soccer Dad.