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	<title>Comments on: A Middle East peace conference without Israel</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404</link>
	<description>Cutting straight to the point</description>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23429</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Dec 2006 06:04:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23429</guid>
		<description>The new missiles are of low significance.  They would not stop high altitue smart bombings.  What they threaten, to some extent, is low-flying helos and cruise missiles.  They can be managed.  Be glad they are not getting worse like Sov S-300s and -400s.

There are conventional penetrators and also not all targets are deeply buried.  Also, personnel can be targeted, weapons scientists and such.  So Israel can retard the program.  But only the US could bomb around the clock enough to really pound them.

Realists would be counseling assassinations of Ahmadinejad and the mullahs, sponsoring coups, etc.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The new missiles are of low significance.  They would not stop high altitue smart bombings.  What they threaten, to some extent, is low-flying helos and cruise missiles.  They can be managed.  Be glad they are not getting worse like Sov S-300s and -400s.</p>
<p>There are conventional penetrators and also not all targets are deeply buried.  Also, personnel can be targeted, weapons scientists and such.  So Israel can retard the program.  But only the US could bomb around the clock enough to really pound them.</p>
<p>Realists would be counseling assassinations of Ahmadinejad and the mullahs, sponsoring coups, etc.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Lonie</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23425</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Lonie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Dec 2006 01:39:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23425</guid>
		<description>If Israel is going to destroy the Iranian nuclear program it will have to use preemptive nuclear strikes.  Nothing else is effective enough to guarantee destruction of the hardened targets.  I doubt they will do this.  I suspect even the USA would have to use nukes to be sure of destroying the Iranian targets, especially once they are defended by those brand-new Russian SAMs.

If Baker and his pals were half as realist as they boast of being that is what they would suggest, preemptive nuclear war against Iran, since Iran is at war with us and has been for 27 years.  But the part of the Baker-Hamilton Report saying that Iran and Syria have interests in seeing a stable Iraq proves that these guys were not realists, but living in cloudcuckooland.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Israel is going to destroy the Iranian nuclear program it will have to use preemptive nuclear strikes.  Nothing else is effective enough to guarantee destruction of the hardened targets.  I doubt they will do this.  I suspect even the USA would have to use nukes to be sure of destroying the Iranian targets, especially once they are defended by those brand-new Russian SAMs.</p>
<p>If Baker and his pals were half as realist as they boast of being that is what they would suggest, preemptive nuclear war against Iran, since Iran is at war with us and has been for 27 years.  But the part of the Baker-Hamilton Report saying that Iran and Syria have interests in seeing a stable Iraq proves that these guys were not realists, but living in cloudcuckooland.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23414</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 16:05:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23414</guid>
		<description>Sabba Hillel, the bombs will likely do their job, at least I hope so.  Miracles aside, which of course could make bombs irrelevant.

What I am worried about is, Israel cannot drop enough of them, on enough targets, because they haven&#039;t got thousands of planes like the US, and all the zillions of other assets that support the USAF.  Tanking, for instance.  Iranian missions are at the far edge of IDF AF&#039;s (is there a better acronym?) range and involve a lot of hostile territory in between.

I have run the math before - Israel has a MARGINAL capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear program, and is likely to do only partial damage - which will help, which is worth doing, but which will not put an end to the problem - while sustaining significant casualties.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sabba Hillel, the bombs will likely do their job, at least I hope so.  Miracles aside, which of course could make bombs irrelevant.</p>
<p>What I am worried about is, Israel cannot drop enough of them, on enough targets, because they haven&#8217;t got thousands of planes like the US, and all the zillions of other assets that support the USAF.  Tanking, for instance.  Iranian missions are at the far edge of IDF AF&#8217;s (is there a better acronym?) range and involve a lot of hostile territory in between.</p>
<p>I have run the math before &#8211; Israel has a MARGINAL capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear program, and is likely to do only partial damage &#8211; which will help, which is worth doing, but which will not put an end to the problem &#8211; while sustaining significant casualties.</p>
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		<title>By: Another Jonathan</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23411</link>
		<dc:creator>Another Jonathan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 13:58:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23411</guid>
		<description>Just wanted to say that I agree that this is a reason to vote Republican, particularly for the conservative/neocon wing of the Republican party.

As &quot;anonymous&quot; said, if the Republicans did better in the last election, this report would have gone straight in the trash.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just wanted to say that I agree that this is a reason to vote Republican, particularly for the conservative/neocon wing of the Republican party.</p>
<p>As &#8220;anonymous&#8221; said, if the Republicans did better in the last election, this report would have gone straight in the trash.</p>
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		<title>By: Sabba Hillel</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23409</link>
		<dc:creator>Sabba Hillel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 10:40:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23409</guid>
		<description>All we can hope for is bombs being more &lt;i&gt;efficient&lt;/i&gt; than physics says they should be (like lightning from a clear sky) triggering an previously &lt;i&gt;unknown&lt;/i&gt; fault into an earthquake that just &lt;i&gt;happens&lt;/i&gt; to be centered on the bomb facilities.

Ain somchin al hanes (do not depend on a miracle), but like Chizkiyau (Hezekiah) and Sancheruv there is only one &quot;thing&quot; we &lt;strong&gt;can&lt;/strong&gt; rely on.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>All we can hope for is bombs being more <i>efficient</i> than physics says they should be (like lightning from a clear sky) triggering an previously <i>unknown</i> fault into an earthquake that just <i>happens</i> to be centered on the bomb facilities.</p>
<p>Ain somchin al hanes (do not depend on a miracle), but like Chizkiyau (Hezekiah) and Sancheruv there is only one &#8220;thing&#8221; we <strong>can</strong> rely on.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23406</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 06:24:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23406</guid>
		<description>If you&#039;re looking for historical analogies, (other) Anonymous, try and find more suitable ones.  In Korea we invested fifty thousand lives to back our word.  And a permanent, or at least indefinite, tripwire force.  

Do you propose to park an armored division in the Negev indefinitely?  Does that seem consonant with all the current realities, including the one where Israel says, as they have before, no thank you?

What this is saying is that Israel had better smack those Iranian nuclear facilities themselves.  And when it&#039;s half-done, because Israel doesn&#039;t have the limitless aerial force necessary to deliver a sustained pasting, well, I hope somebody will be happy about it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you&#8217;re looking for historical analogies, (other) Anonymous, try and find more suitable ones.  In Korea we invested fifty thousand lives to back our word.  And a permanent, or at least indefinite, tripwire force.  </p>
<p>Do you propose to park an armored division in the Negev indefinitely?  Does that seem consonant with all the current realities, including the one where Israel says, as they have before, no thank you?</p>
<p>What this is saying is that Israel had better smack those Iranian nuclear facilities themselves.  And when it&#8217;s half-done, because Israel doesn&#8217;t have the limitless aerial force necessary to deliver a sustained pasting, well, I hope somebody will be happy about it.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23405</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 03:51:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23405</guid>
		<description>If we&#039;re looking for historical analogies, the peace agreement that ended the Korean War might be instructive.  All parties to the war signed on to the agreement -- except the South Koreans, who thought that agreement was a sellout.  While it&#039;s easy to sympathize with the South Korean viewpoint back then, it&#039;s hard to deny that both America and South Korea are better off now, despite the high-handed way the Americans treated South Korea.  

So too with Israel, perhaps.  A diplomatic arangement between American and Arab states that cut out the Israelis wouldn&#039;t necessarily be a bad thing for Israel in the long term, though it would depend a LOT on the details.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If we&#8217;re looking for historical analogies, the peace agreement that ended the Korean War might be instructive.  All parties to the war signed on to the agreement &#8212; except the South Koreans, who thought that agreement was a sellout.  While it&#8217;s easy to sympathize with the South Korean viewpoint back then, it&#8217;s hard to deny that both America and South Korea are better off now, despite the high-handed way the Americans treated South Korea.  </p>
<p>So too with Israel, perhaps.  A diplomatic arangement between American and Arab states that cut out the Israelis wouldn&#8217;t necessarily be a bad thing for Israel in the long term, though it would depend a LOT on the details.</p>
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		<title>By: Ben F</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23404</link>
		<dc:creator>Ben F</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 03:34:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23404</guid>
		<description>Alex--you beat me to it. 

Remember when Ariel Sharon declared that Israel would not be another Czechoslovakia, and drew a stinging rebuke from Bush? I don&#039;t know what else may have been said behind the scenes, but Sharon was Bush&#039;s lap dog from that point onward.

Don&#039;t blame Baker or Condi; a fish always stinks from the head.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Alex&#8211;you beat me to it. </p>
<p>Remember when Ariel Sharon declared that Israel would not be another Czechoslovakia, and drew a stinging rebuke from Bush? I don&#8217;t know what else may have been said behind the scenes, but Sharon was Bush&#8217;s lap dog from that point onward.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t blame Baker or Condi; a fish always stinks from the head.</p>
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		<title>By: Alex Bensky</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23401</link>
		<dc:creator>Alex Bensky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 03:01:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23401</guid>
		<description>Ah, Meryl, you are inaccurate that no country would agree to the result of a conference in which it wasn&#039;t involved. Czechoslovaia did not participate in the 1938 Munich conference.

Not the most hopeful precedent, of course. Look how well that worked out for the Czechs.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ah, Meryl, you are inaccurate that no country would agree to the result of a conference in which it wasn&#8217;t involved. Czechoslovaia did not participate in the 1938 Munich conference.</p>
<p>Not the most hopeful precedent, of course. Look how well that worked out for the Czechs.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404/comment-page-1#comment-23398</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Dec 2006 01:51:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.yourish.com/2006/12/07/2404#comment-23398</guid>
		<description>If there was one person I wanted to lose it was Jim Webb.  Not Ellison, not Hillary Clinton, not whatever nonentity ran against Michael Steele.  Webb.  

And you felt free to effectively give him your vote?!?  Do you give him a pass for the cartoon and the &#039;Felix&#039; business?  Well, if you like Pat Buchanan, you must love this guy.  Eesh.

So Allen would be a nonentity.  Oh no, much better to have a...whatever Webb is.  What flaws could Allen possibly have to allow you to let that happen?  Incest?  Eating flesh torn from a living animal?  I guess it&#039;s not my place to ask, but...how could you?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If there was one person I wanted to lose it was Jim Webb.  Not Ellison, not Hillary Clinton, not whatever nonentity ran against Michael Steele.  Webb.  </p>
<p>And you felt free to effectively give him your vote?!?  Do you give him a pass for the cartoon and the &#8216;Felix&#8217; business?  Well, if you like Pat Buchanan, you must love this guy.  Eesh.</p>
<p>So Allen would be a nonentity.  Oh no, much better to have a&#8230;whatever Webb is.  What flaws could Allen possibly have to allow you to let that happen?  Incest?  Eating flesh torn from a living animal?  I guess it&#8217;s not my place to ask, but&#8230;how could you?</p>
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